At present, the density of domestic pig breeding has been effectively reduced, and the proportion of medium and large-scale and large-scale farms has increased significantly. This means that the level of bio-safety prevention and control and the level of pig breeding technology will increase, and the frequency and probability of epidemics will be higher than the previous period. reduce. Due to the long pig breeding cycle and the reduced efficiency of commercial-to-mother farming, the stock of pigs in the second half of the year still showed a slow decline. Then, the actual situation of resumption of production in various places is not good, and it still needs the support of various policies.
The stocking density is effectively reduced, and the pig stocks in the second half of the year are reduced or limited.
According to the current situation of resumption of production in various parts of the country and the actual situation of the epidemic, Zhuo Chuang believes that the loss of domestic pigs may stabilize in August-December. In August, due to the end of the epidemic in the southwestern market, the phenomenon of selling still exists, and the national stocks may fall again. From September to October, due to the enthusiasm of the replenishment in the first three months of this year, there may be a slight increase in the amount of live pigs. In the peak season of consumption from November to December, the frequency of domestic pigs and pork transportation will increase again. Under the premise of no vaccine and effective prevention and treatment, there is still a risk of epidemics.
At present, the density of domestic pig breeding has been effectively reduced, and the proportion of medium and large-scale and large-scale farms has increased significantly. This means that the level of bio-safety prevention and control and the level of pig breeding technology will increase, and the frequency and probability of epidemics will be higher than the previous period. reduce. Due to the long pig breeding cycle and the reduced efficiency of commercial-to-mother farming, the stock of pigs in the second half of the year still showed a slow decline.
Resumption of production still requires multi-party policy support, interpretation of problems and suggestions
1. The development of African swine fever virus vaccine is difficult
At present, the state has invested a large amount of funds and technical teams to develop the African swine fever virus vaccine, but the actual progress is slow. In addition to the difficulty in the development of the vaccine itself, the poor cooperation of the breeding end on R&D is affected. One of the main objective reasons for the process.
The number of epidemics notified by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Areas is less than 160. However, the number of farms in various types of African swine fever epidemic in China is large. Due to the poor implementation of policy subsidies, most farmers who have not notified the epidemic will choose to handle the disease in the column. Live pigs, which directly lead to insufficient collection of different samples by researchers. At the same time, it is understood that there are cases in which domestic researchers who are visiting the countryside are unwilling to make too many detailed explanations, which will bring certain objective obstacles to vaccine research and development.
At present, the high incidence of domestic epidemic has passed, but the state and governments at all levels still need to continuously strive to find sample sites for African swine fever, increase the sample capacity of scientific research institutions, and provide appropriate subsidies and persuasion to cooperate with R&D institutions more effectively.
2. Encourage the cultivation of farming policies is still insufficient
At present, with the national and some provincial governments have issued corresponding policies to encourage aquaculture, individual provincial governments have even issued a “mandatory indicator” policy. However, it is reported that due to the fear of the risk of African swine fever, the bottom-level government has no clear policy, and the enthusiasm of the small and medium-sized farmers is poor, because once the epidemic is infected, it means that all the previous investments have no return, and there is even a liability risk.
Therefore, it is recommended that the state and all levels of government either issue a clear and meticulous “breathing” policy, and can sign a valid contract, which has legal benefits, guarantees the interests of the farmers, and allows the farmers to see more advantages than disadvantages in order to effectively promote the replenishment.
3. The support for killing subsidies still needs attention
After the occurrence of the African swine fever epidemic, the country introduced the corresponding killing subsidy policy, but it is understood that the actual implementation is not in place, even if the procedures for applying for subsidies by the farmers within the subsidy are complicated, the time course is long, and the subsidy amount is insufficient, the news The unfavorable factors are heavy, and the impact on the breeding end is greater.
Governments at all levels must really pay attention to the implementation of the subsidy policy, simplify the review process, and ensure that subsidies can be quickly put in place after notification, and forward the propaganda of the aquaculture units that have been notified and subsidized in full in advance to improve the confidence of the breeding end.
4. Restriction of environmental protection in local areas is relatively large
The domestic environmental protection policy has become increasingly strict, and many areas have been delineated and restricted, mainly concentrated in the central and eastern regions where the water network is developed and the economy is developed. In the main producing areas of local epidemic areas, there are environmental protection policies to raise the threshold of breeding, to prevent the spread of African swine fever, and to arbitrarily remove some of the farming units.
At present, the domestic supply-side gap has become more obvious. Compared with the people’s livelihood issues of pork consumption, the national government should carefully consider the importance of environmental protection and people’s livelihood. Because of the small density of breeding before the restricted ban, the number of epidemics is small, and the success rate of re-cultivation is higher, then the restricted area with unreasonable localization may become a better breeding base.
Trasfered by: EGEJBERG ASIA–PIGGMENT EQUIPMENT
Post time: Aug-12-2019